Day16 Throughout the last two decades，those who earned graduate degrees found it very difficult to get job

The following appeared as part of an article in the education section of a Waymarsh city newspaper：

“Throughout the last two decades，those who earned graduate degrees found it very dif？cult to get jobs teaching their academic specialties at the college level.Those with graduate degrees from Waymarsh University had an especially hard time finding such jobs.But better times are coming in the next decade for all academic job seekers，including those from Waymarsh.Demographic trends indicate that an increasing number of people will be reaching college age over the next 10 years；consequently，we can expect that the job market will improve dramatically for people seeking college-level teaching positions in their？elds.”

Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument.In your discussion be sure to analyze the line of reasoning and the use of evidence in the argument.For example，you may need to consider what questionable assumptions underlie the thinking and what alternative explanations or counterexamples might weaken the conclusion.You can also discuss what sort of evidence would strengthen or refute the argument，what changes in the argument would make it more logically sound，and what，if anything，would help you better evaluate its conclusion.

文勇五问：

（1）本题中，事实是什么？结论是什么？“Throughout the last two decades，those who earned graduate degrees found it very dif？cult to get jobs teaching their academic specialties at the college level.Those with graduate degrees from Waymarsh University had an especially hard time finding such jobs.”和“Demographic trends indicate that an increasing number of people will be reaching college age over the next 10 years.”是事实，“consequently，we can expect that the job market will improve dramatically for people seeking college-level teaching positions in their？elds.”是结论，值得反驳吗？

（2）适龄人增多，就一定代表考大学的人会增多吗？考大学的人数增多，大学生就一定会增多吗？

（3）大学生的人数增多，大学就一定会扩招教师岗位吗？有没有可能增幅并不大，现有的师资仍可以满足需求呢？

（4）工作岗位变多，就业形势一定会变好吗？有没有可能竞争变激烈？有没有可能随着竞争上岗的人变多了，门槛也随着提高了？

（5）适用于集体的一定适用于个体吗？就算整体就业形势改善，就一定能保证研究生毕业生找工作更容易了吗？有没有可能在大部分大学招聘教师的基本要求是研究生毕业生无法满足的呢？例如要求有博士以上的学位。进一步讲，研究生毕业生的就业形势改善了，Waymarsh University的学生找工作就更容易了吗？特定大学的研究生是否可能比其他大学的研究生更难找到工作？这其中的原因可能有哪些？你能罗列其中的一到两个吗？例如研究生质量比较低。

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